ST. PETERSBURG, Fla. — Showers and some storms will increase in coverage later in the day ahead of the tropical disturbance over the Gulf of Mexico.
It may become a tropical storm later today as it tracks toward northeast toward the Florida Panhandle.
The convection associated with the low is displaced to the east, placing Tampa Bay on the side of rain and gusty storms.
This morning has been off to a quiet start and comfortable too. A warm front will lift north of us later today and this will increase the moisture in the atmosphere leading to increasing showers this afternoon and evening.
Winds will become breezy later tonight and tomorrow as a tropical low passes to our north. The good news with this storm is it will be nowhere as intense as Hurricane Michael. Conditions are not favorable for this to rapidly intensify. Having said that, we will still see some impacts in our area.
The main threat is the risk for severe weather overnight into tomorrow morning. A line of storms will move onshore Saturday morning with heavy rain and gusty winds. This line may also result in an isolated tornado or two.
In addition to the severe threat, storm surge will affect our coastal communities from Clearwater Beach north through the Nature Coast. A storm surge warning remains in effect. The Nature Coast is more susceptible to coastal flooding where a 3-5 foot surge could result in a few spots.
The Saturday morning high tide cycle is when we expect the storm surge to reach its peak.
The worst of the weather associated with the storm will be overnight tonight into Saturday morning. It’s a fast moving storm so by late Saturday into Sunday, we will be drying things out.
Sunday will be the nicer of the two weekend days with drier air and a few showers, mainly south. Highs will be in the mid 80s.
Another cold front will stall over the area around Tuesday leading to our next chance of showers and thunderstorms.
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