The average peak of the Atlantic hurricane season is this week, and right on cue, two more tropical systems have developed.
Fortunately, though, neither storm currently appears to threaten the U.S.
Tropical Storm Paulette
Tropical Storm Paulette is in the central Atlantic, slowly moving to the northwest. It’s strengthened a bit on Tuesday and may approach hurricane status in the next couple of days. However, it’ll run into increasing wind shear, causing it to weaken again.
Its track to the northwest will continue this week. By the weekend, it’ll still be in open water northeast of the Lesser Antilles, likely as a tropical storm.
Paulette initially formed as Tropical Depression Seventeen late Sunday, about halfway between the Lesser Antilles and Cabo Verde Islands. It became a tropical storm Monday morning.
It does not appear to be a threat to land, although interests along the Eastern Seaboard of the U.S. and Bermuda should still keep tabs on this storm.
Tropical Depression Rene
Farther east, Tropical Depression Eighteen intensified into Tropical Storm Rene late Monday afternoon. Rene has moved past the Cabo Verde Islands, where it brought local downpours and gusty winds late Monday through early Tuesday.
On Tuesday night, Rene weakened back down to a depression.
Rene is expected to strengthen into a tropical storm, then a hurricane in the next several days. It’s forecast to continue moving to the west across open ocean, gradually turning toward the northwest late this week.
Rene isn’t expected to threaten the United States or the Caribbean.
Two Other Systems To Watch
Two other systems are being monitored for potential development in the Atlantic.
The more ominous of these two systems is a low in the western Atlantic, and it could turn into a tropical depression or storm as it moves towards the Carolina coastline later this week.
Heavy rain is expected to be the primary threat from this system, regardless of development.
Another tropical wave rolling off the west coast of Africa later this week will likely become a tropical depression and/or Tropical Storm Sally later this week.
It’s too early to tell where this likely storm might go, however.
Picking Up Again
The average peak of the Atlantic hurricane season is around September 10. This time of year, tropical systems can develop just about anywhere, although it’s common for them to form where these two are. September also has a history of memorable hurricanes.
Before Monday, the earliest P-storm on record was Philippe, which was named on September 17, 2005. The earliest R-storm was Rita on September 18, 2005.
This year continues to outpace the record-setting 2005 season.
On top of Paulette and Rita, we will continue to watch two other areas of interest in the Atlantic.
One is 300 miles west-southwest of Bermuda and has a medium chance of further development over the next five days. This area could bring impacts to the eastern U.S.
The second area of interest will slide off the coast of Africa late this week and has a high chance of further development.