The average peak of the Atlantic hurricane season is this week, and the Atlantic is staying quite active.
Fortunately, the cyclones we do have will not threaten the U.S.
Tropical Storm Paulette
Tropical Storm Paulette is in the central Atlantic, slowly moving to the northwest. It strengthened on Tuesday but has run into a fair amount of wind shear. This will keep it from getting much stronger, if at all.
Its track to the northwest will continue this week. By the weekend, it’ll still be in open water northeast of the Lesser Antilles, likely as a tropical storm.
Paulette initially formed as Tropical Depression Seventeen late Sunday, about halfway between the Lesser Antilles and Cabo Verde Islands. It became a tropical storm Monday morning.
It does not appear to be a threat to land, although interests along the Eastern Seaboard of the U.S. and Bermuda should still keep tabs on this storm.
Tropical Depression Rene
Farther east, Tropical Depression Eighteen intensified into Tropical Storm Rene late Monday afternoon. Rene has moved past the Cabo Verde Islands, where it brought local downpours and gusty winds late Monday through early Tuesday.
On Tuesday night, Rene weakened back down to a depression.
Rene is expected to strengthen back into a tropical storm and possibly a hurricane for a short time in the next several days. It’s forecast to continue moving to the west across open ocean, gradually turning toward the north this weekend.
Rene isn’t expected to threaten the United States or the Caribbean.
Two Other Systems To Watch
Two other systems are being monitored for potential development in the Atlantic.
The closest of these two systems is a low in the western Atlantic, which has a low chance of turning into a tropical depression or storm as it moves towards the Carolina coastline later this week.
Locally heavy rain is expected to be the primary threat from this system, regardless of development.
Another tropical wave rolling off the west coast of Africa later this week will likely become a tropical depression later this week. If it becomes a tropical storm, it’ll be named Sally.
It’s too early to tell where this likely storm might go, however.
Picking Up Again
The average peak of the Atlantic hurricane season is around September 10. This time of year, tropical systems can develop just about anywhere, although it’s common for them to form where these two are. September also has a history of memorable hurricanes.
Before Monday, the earliest P-storm on record was Philippe, which was named on September 17, 2005. The earliest R-storm was Rita on September 18, 2005.
This year continues to outpace the record-setting 2005 season.